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Complex principal component analysis of mass balance changes on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

Zhan, Jingang, Shi, Hongling, Wang, Yong, and Yao, Yixin, 2017. Complex principal component analysis of mass balance changes on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. The Cryosphere, 11(3):1487–1499, doi:10.5194/tc-11-1487-2017.

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@ARTICLE{2017TCry...11.1487Z,
       author = {{Zhan}, Jingang and {Shi}, Hongling and {Wang}, Yong and {Yao}, Yixin},
        title = "{Complex principal component analysis of mass balance changes on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau}",
      journal = {The Cryosphere},
         year = 2017,
        month = jun,
       volume = {11},
       number = {3},
        pages = {1487-1499},
     abstract = "{Climatic time series for Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau locations are rare.
        Although glacier shrinkage is well described, the relationship
        between mass balance and climatic variation is less clear. We
        studied the effect of climate changes on mass balance by
        analyzing the complex principal components of mass changes
        during 2003-2015 using Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment
        satellite data. Mass change in the eastern Himalayas, Karakoram,
        Pamirs, and northwestern India was most sensitive to variation
        in the first principal component, which explained 54 \% of the
        change. Correlation analysis showed that the first principal
        component is related to the Indian monsoon and the correlation
        coefficient is 0.83. Mass change on the eastern Qinghai plateau,
        eastern Himalayas-Qiangtang Plateau-Pamirs area and northwestern
        India was most sensitive to variation of the second major
        factor, which explained 16 \% of the variation. The second major
        component is associated with El Ni{\~n}o; the correlation
        coefficient was 0.30 and this exceeded the 95 \% confidence
        interval of 0.17. Mass change on the western and northwestern
        Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau was most sensitive to the variation of
        its third major component, responsible for 6 \% of mass balance
        change. The third component may be associated with climate
        change from the westerlies and La Ni{\~n}a. The third component
        and El Ni{\~n}o have similar signals of 6.5 year periods and
        opposite phases. We conclude that El Ni{\~n}o now has the second
        largest effect on mass balance change of this region, which
        differs from the traditional view that the westerlies are the
        second largest factor.}",
          doi = {10.5194/tc-11-1487-2017},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2017TCry...11.1487Z},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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