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Intraseasonal Sea Level Variability in the Persian Gulf

Piecuch, Christopher G., Fukumori, Ichiro, and Ponte, Rui M., 2021. Intraseasonal Sea Level Variability in the Persian Gulf. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 51(5):1687–1704, doi:10.1175/JPO-D-20-0296.1.

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BibTeX

@ARTICLE{2021JPO....51.1687P,
       author = {{Piecuch}, Christopher G. and {Fukumori}, Ichiro and {Ponte}, Rui M.},
        title = "{Intraseasonal Sea Level Variability in the Persian Gulf}",
      journal = {Journal of Physical Oceanography},
         year = 2021,
        month = may,
       volume = {51},
       number = {5},
        pages = {1687-1704},
     abstract = "{Satellite observations are used to establish the dominant magnitudes,
        scales, and mechanisms of intraseasonal variability in ocean
        dynamic sea level ({\ensuremath{\zeta}}) in the Persian Gulf
        over 2002-15. Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis
        applied to altimetry data reveals a basinwide, single-signed
        intraseasonal fluctuation that contributes importantly to
        {\ensuremath{\zeta}} variance in the Persian Gulf at monthly to
        decadal time scales. An EOF analysis of Gravity Recovery and
        Climate Experiment (GRACE) observations over the same period
        returns a similar large-scale mode of intraseasonal variability,
        suggesting that the basinwide intraseasonal {\ensuremath{\zeta}}
        variation has a predominantly barotropic nature. A linear
        barotropic theory is developed to interpret the data. The theory
        represents Persian Gulf average {\ensuremath{\zeta}}
        ({\ensuremath{\zeta}} {\textasciimacron} ) in terms of local
        freshwater flux, barometric pressure, and wind stress forcing,
        as well as {\ensuremath{\zeta}} at the boundary in the Gulf of
        Oman. The theory is tested using a multiple linear regression
        with these freshwater flux, barometric pressure, wind stress,
        and boundary {\ensuremath{\zeta}} quantities as input and
        {\ensuremath{\zeta}} {\textasciimacron} as output. The
        regression explains 70\% {\ensuremath{\pm}} 9\% (95\% confidence
        interval) of the intraseasonal {\ensuremath{\zeta}}
        {\textasciimacron} variance. Numerical values of regression
        coefficients computed empirically from the data are consistent
        with theoretical expectations from first principles. Results
        point to a substantial nonisostatic response to surface loading.
        The Gulf of Oman {\ensuremath{\zeta}} boundary condition shows
        lagged correlation with {\ensuremath{\zeta}} upstream along the
        Indian subcontinent, Maritime Continent, and equatorial Indian
        Ocean, suggesting a large-scale Indian Ocean influence on
        intraseasonal {\ensuremath{\zeta}} {\textasciimacron} variation
        mediated by coastal and equatorial waves and hinting at
        potential predictability. This study highlights the value of
        GRACE for understanding sea level in an understudied marginal
        sea.}",
          doi = {10.1175/JPO-D-20-0296.1},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2021JPO....51.1687P},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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