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Mousavimehr, Seyed Mojtaba and Kavianpour, Mohammad Reza, 2025. A non-stationary downscaling and gap-filling approach for GRACE/GRACE-FO data under climatic and anthropogenic influences. Applied Water Science, 15(5):91, doi:10.1007/s13201-025-02427-z.
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@ARTICLE{2025ApWS...15...91M,
author = {{Mousavimehr}, Seyed Mojtaba and {Kavianpour}, Mohammad Reza},
title = "{A non-stationary downscaling and gap-filling approach for GRACE/GRACE-FO data under climatic and anthropogenic influences}",
journal = {Applied Water Science},
keywords = {Groundwater level, GRACE, Machine learning, Non-stationary time series, Downscaling, Hodrick{\textendash}Prescott filter, Earth Sciences, Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience},
year = 2025,
month = may,
volume = {15},
number = {5},
eid = {91},
pages = {91},
abstract = "{Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On
(GRACE-FO) are being increasingly used as valuable data sources
for hydrological monitoring. However, their coarse spatial
resolution is considered as a limitation for regional studies,
especially in areas with remarkable hydroclimate variability. In
this study, a novel approach is presented for downscaling, and
gap filling of terrestrial water storage (TWS) in Tehran
province, Iran. Non-stationarity in the GRACE/GRACE-FO derived
TWS is a significant challenge for predictive models. In this
regard, the Hodrick{\textendash}Prescott filter was adopted to
detrend the TWS data. Afterward, several machine learning and
deep learning techniques are employed for TWS prediction using
Global Land Data Assimilation System and the fifth-generation
ECMWF reanalysis (ERA5) datasets. The methodology is employed
for bridging the gap between GRACE and GRACE-FO as well.
Subsequently, the models are trained with different combinations
of input variables and their performance is evaluated against
the actual values. In parallel, a separate regression model
based on the temporal index of the sample is developed for trend
estimation and highlighting the role of anthropogenic
activities. The proposed methodology is employed for bridging
the gap between GRACE and GRACE-FO as well. The models with the
highest accuracy are fed by input data with a spatial resolution
of 0.25{\textdegree} {\texttimes} 0.25{\textdegree} to obtain
fine-resolution TWS. Finally, the downscaled TWS derived from
the predictive model is applied to calculate groundwater storage
(GWS). The monthly TWS prediction results exhibit a strong
correlation (CC = 0.93) and a low error (RMSE = 4.75 cm),
underscoring the effectiveness of the proposed approach. TWS and
GWS computations reveal rapid declines in groundwater-level
prevailing by anthropogenic factors which exacerbate water
crisis issues and environmental problems in the study area.}",
doi = {10.1007/s13201-025-02427-z},
adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025ApWS...15...91M},
adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}
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