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Multi-technique estimation of ice mass balance in Greenland: impact of the uncertainties on firn densification and GIA models

Sanchez Lofficial, Ana, Métivier, Laurent, Fleitout, Luce, Chanard, Kristel, Greff-Lefftz, Marianne, de La Serve, Maylis, Gauer, Louis-Marie, and Gourrion, Emma, 2025. Multi-technique estimation of ice mass balance in Greenland: impact of the uncertainties on firn densification and GIA models. Geophysical Journal International, 240(3):1935–1952, doi:10.1093/gji/ggaf015.

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@ARTICLE{2025GeoJI.240.1935S,
       author = {{Sanchez Lofficial}, Ana and {M{\'e}tivier}, Laurent and {Fleitout}, Luce and {Chanard}, Kristel and {Greff-Lefftz}, Marianne and {de La Serve}, Maylis and {Gauer}, Louis-Marie and {Gourrion}, Emma},
        title = "{Multi-technique estimation of ice mass balance in Greenland: impact of the uncertainties on firn densification and GIA models}",
      journal = {Geophysical Journal International},
         year = 2025,
        month = mar,
       volume = {240},
       number = {3},
        pages = {1935-1952},
     abstract = "{We conduct a comprehensive comparison of ice mass balance (IMB)
        estimates for Greenland derived from satellite observations of
        ice surface elevation changes (SEC), gravity and global
        navigation satellite system (GNSS) observations. Our analysis
        integrates data from the ICESat and CryoSat-2 satellite
        altimetry missions, augmented by optical stereo-imagery for
        peripheral glaciers, and GRACE satellite gravimetry mission,
        spanning the 2003-2008 and 2011-2015 periods. We also consider
        three firn densification models (FDM) and five glacial isostatic
        adjustment (GIA) models for correcting the data sets for these
        effects when necessary. Our results reveal significant
        differences among FDM corrections applied to SEC observations,
        with particularly large variations in IMB estimates reaching up
        to 90 Gt yr$^{-1}$. To address this, we develop an innovative
        method for estimating equivalent firn corrections to the ice
        elevation observations, based on a least-squares fit of filtered
        ice SEC observations to GRACE mass-change estimates. This
        approach is both simple and independent from climate models
        assumptions and shows minimal sensitivity to GIA model
        differences. Using this method, we estimate IMBs for Greenland
        at -217.6 <inline-formula><tex-math id=``TM0001''
        notation=``LaTeX''>$\pm$</tex-math></inline-formula> 15.7 Gt
        yr$^{-1}$ for 2003-2008 and -253.2 <inline-formula><tex-math
        id=``TM0002'' notation=``LaTeX''>$\pm$</tex-math></inline-
        formula> 18.8 Gt yr$^{-1}$ for 2011-2015. Importantly, these
        values indicate an acceleration of the thinning rate, not
        consistently captured by the IMB estimates inferred from the ice
        SEC observations corrected by FDMs. Finally, we compute elastic
        ground deformation induced by ice mass change during 2011-2015,
        using the four proposed mass-variation distributions and compare
        the predicted vertical velocities with GNSS observations in
        Greenland, accounting for all GIA models. While all models are
        consistent with most of the GNSS-derived uplift rates, they
        cannot fully explain the observed vertical velocities,
        especially in the South-East Greenland, which confirms the need
        to refine our understanding of GIA contributions in this region.}",
          doi = {10.1093/gji/ggaf015},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025GeoJI.240.1935S},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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