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Plausibility Criteria for GRACE-Derived Groundwater Storage Changes From Aquifers Globally

Arifin, A., Shamsudduha, M., Ramdhan, A. M., Rateb, A., Scanlon, B. R., Setiawan, T., Iman, M. I., Husna, A., and Taylor, R. G., 2025. Plausibility Criteria for GRACE-Derived Groundwater Storage Changes From Aquifers Globally. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(22):e2025GL118580, doi:10.1029/2025GL118580.

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@ARTICLE{2025GeoRL..5218580A,
       author = {{Arifin}, A. and {Shamsudduha}, M. and {Ramdhan}, A.~M. and {Rateb}, A. and {Scanlon}, B.~R. and {Setiawan}, T. and {Iman}, M.~I. and {Husna}, A. and {Taylor}, R.~G.},
        title = "{Plausibility Criteria for GRACE-Derived Groundwater Storage Changes From Aquifers Globally}",
      journal = {\grl},
         year = 2025,
        month = nov,
       volume = {52},
       number = {22},
          eid = {e2025GL118580},
        pages = {e2025GL118580},
     abstract = "{Monitoring changes in groundwater storage ({\ensuremath{\Delta}}GWS) is
        critical to assess sustainability of groundwater use under
        climate variability. Satellite gravimetry from the GRACE
        missions is used to infer {\ensuremath{\Delta}}GWS by deducting
        changes in monitored or modeled water components from GRACE-
        derived changes in total water storage
        ({\ensuremath{\Delta}}TWS). As a residual parameter,
        {\ensuremath{\Delta}}GWS is highly sensitive to arithmetic
        inconsistencies and uncertainties in both GRACE data and model-
        derived inputs. Here we present a framework to evaluate the
        physical plausibility of GRACE-derived {\ensuremath{\Delta}}GWS
        estimates across 37 large global aquifer systems. The results
        show that the proportion of plausible {\ensuremath{\Delta}}GWS
        estimates per realization, derived from multiple GRACE products
        and land surface model combinations, varies from <10\% to >60\%.
        Exclusion of implausible estimates improved correlations between
        {\ensuremath{\Delta}}GWS and {\ensuremath{\Delta}}TWS
        substantially (r {\ensuremath{\geq}} 0.9, p-value <0.05) in most
        aquifers (31/37) and with in situ observations in the Bengal
        Basin (r = 0.8, p-value <0.05).}",
          doi = {10.1029/2025GL118580},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025GeoRL..5218580A},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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