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Tracking California's striking water storage gains attributed to intensive atmospheric rivers

Jiang, Zhongshan, Zhang, Hui, Tang, Miao, Yang, Xinghai, Yuan, Linguo, Yuan, Yuan, Feng, Wei, and Zhong, Min, 2025. Tracking California's striking water storage gains attributed to intensive atmospheric rivers. Journal of Hydrology, 653:132804, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132804.

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@ARTICLE{2025JHyd..65332804J,
       author = {{Jiang}, Zhongshan and {Zhang}, Hui and {Tang}, Miao and {Yang}, Xinghai and {Yuan}, Linguo and {Yuan}, Yuan and {Feng}, Wei and {Zhong}, Min},
        title = "{Tracking California's striking water storage gains attributed to intensive atmospheric rivers}",
      journal = {Journal of Hydrology},
     keywords = {GNSS, Ground subsidence, Terrestrial water storage, Precipitation extremes, Atmospheric rivers},
         year = 2025,
        month = jun,
       volume = {653},
          eid = {132804},
        pages = {132804},
     abstract = "{California is highly vulnerable to extreme precipitation events due to
        the dense landfall of atmospheric rivers (ARs) during the winter
        months, often resulting in catastrophic consequences such as
        widespread floods, mudslides, and landslides. This study focuses
        on the recovery of daily variations in AR-driven terrestrial
        water storage (TWS), which produces geodetically detectable
        ground subsidence. We invert GNSS vertical positions to obtain
        daily estimates of equivalent water height (EWH) through a
        variational Bayesian principal component analysis (vbPCA) based
        inversion scheme and track significant water gains during
        record-setting winter months in four water years (WYs) 2011,
        2017, 2019, and 2023. These precipitation extremes have resulted
        in a substantial short-term increase in water storage, as
        evidenced by the multi-source EWH datasets (GNSS, GRACE, and
        NLDAS). Notably, WY 2023 experienced the highest snowfall due to
        the landfalls of high-density, high-category ARs, while WY 2017
        recorded the highest precipitation totals, driven by the most
        frequent occurrence of hazardous ARs. Our findings further
        highlight that GNSS can accurately detect exceptionally wet
        hydrological events on short time scales, benefiting from an
        improved signal-to-noise ratio due to substantial increase in
        water storage. The results also indicate that while these
        extreme water years can help alleviate surface subsidence in the
        Central Valley caused by groundwater overexploitation, it is
        insufficient to alter California's heavy reliance on groundwater
        for its intensive agricultural activities. Our findings
        demonstrate that GNSS is successful in tracking prodigious water
        increases from short-term precipitation extremes that are weaker
        than powerful hurricanes, illuminating the prospect of GNSS in
        supporting water management and flood preparedness.}",
          doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132804},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025JHyd..65332804J},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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