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Aryal, Saugat and Pokhrel, Yadu, 2025. Spatio-temporal heterogeneities in hydrologic dynamics across the Asian Water Tower. Journal of Hydrology, 662:133951, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133951.
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@ARTICLE{2025JHyd..66233951A,
author = {{Aryal}, Saugat and {Pokhrel}, Yadu},
title = "{Spatio-temporal heterogeneities in hydrologic dynamics across the Asian Water Tower}",
journal = {Journal of Hydrology},
keywords = {Asian Water Tower, Hydrologic heterogeneity, Hydrological-hydrodynamic modeling, Floods, Terrestrial water storage, GRACE},
year = 2025,
month = dec,
volume = {662},
eid = {133951},
pages = {133951},
abstract = "{This study presents a multi-decadal (1979{\textendash}2018) analysis of
hydrologic changes across the entire Asian Water Tower (AWT)
region, using high-resolution hydrological-hydrodynamic
modeling. We find significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity in
hydrological trends across the AWT basins, characterized by
diverse changes in river discharge, water storage, flood
regimes, and terrestrial water storage (TWS) dynamics. Western
basins such as the Amu Darya and Tarim show increasing flood
risks (up to {\ensuremath{\sim}}60\% increase in flood
occurrence) and significant snow water equivalent (SWE)
contributions to TWS (up to {\ensuremath{\sim}}41\%), while
central basins are transitioning to regions of increasing water
scarcity with strong subsurface storage contribution evident in
the Ganges (up to {\ensuremath{\sim}}79\%). The dominance of
subsurface storage reaches its peak in the eastern basins, where
the Yangtze and Yellow River exhibit the highest proportions
({\ensuremath{\sim}}78\% and {\ensuremath{\sim}}83\%
respectively), with the Yangtze further distinguished by a
notable river storage contribution ({\ensuremath{\sim}}21\%). In
contrast, southeastern basins including the Mekong, Irrawaddy,
and Salween present complex, temporally varying patterns that
defy simple categorization. These findings highlight the complex
interplay of surface and subsurface processes in the AWT,
underscoring the need for basin-specific approaches in water
resource management and climate change adaptation strategies.}",
doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133951},
adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025JHyd..66233951A},
adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}
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