Publications related to the GRACE Missions (no abstracts)

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Assessment of ocean bottom pressure variations in CMIP6 HighResMIP simulations

Liu, Le, Schindelegger, Michael, Börger, Lara, Foth, Judith, and Gou, Junyang, 2025. Assessment of ocean bottom pressure variations in CMIP6 HighResMIP simulations. Ocean Science, 21(5):2149–2167, doi:10.5194/os-21-2149-2025.

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BibTeX

@ARTICLE{2025OcSci..21.2149L,
       author = {{Liu}, Le and {Schindelegger}, Michael and {B{\"o}rger}, Lara and {Foth}, Judith and {Gou}, Junyang},
        title = "{Assessment of ocean bottom pressure variations in CMIP6 HighResMIP simulations}",
      journal = {Ocean Science},
         year = 2025,
        month = oct,
       volume = {21},
       number = {5},
        pages = {2149-2167},
     abstract = "{Ocean bottom pressure (pb) variations from high-resolution climate model
        simulations under the CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison
        Project Phase 6) HighResMIP protocol are potentially useful for
        oceanographic and space-geodetic research, but the overall
        signal content and accuracy of these pb estimates have hitherto
        not been assessed. Here, we compute monthly pb fields from five
        CMIP6 HighResMIP models at 1/4{\textdegree} grid spacing over
        both historical and future time spans and compare these data, in
        terms of temporal variance, against observation-based pb
        estimates from a 1/4{\textdegree} downscaled GRACE (Gravity
        Recovery and Climate Experiment) product and 23 bottom pressure
        recorders, mostly in the Pacific. The model results are
        qualitatively and quantitatively similar to the GRACE-based pb
        variances, featuring {\textendash} aside from eddy imprints
        {\textendash} elevated amplitudes on continental shelves and in
        major abyssal plains of the Southern Ocean. Modeled pb variance
        in these regions is {\ensuremath{\sim}} 10 \%{\textendash}80 \%
        higher and thus overestimated compared to GRACE, whereas
        underestimation relative to GRACE and the bottom pressure
        recorders prevails in more quiescent deep-ocean regions. We also
        form variance ratios of detrended pb signals over
        2030{\textendash}2049 under a high-emission scenario relative to
        1980{\textendash}1999 for three selected models and find
        statistically significant increases in future pb variance by
        {\ensuremath{\sim}} 30 \%{\textendash}50 \% across deep Arctic
        basins and the southern South Atlantic. The strengthening
        appears to be linked to projected changes in high-latitude
        surface winds and, in the case of the South Atlantic,
        intensified eddy kinetic energy. The study thus points to
        possibly new pathways for relating observed pb variability from
        (future) satellite gravimetry missions to anthropogenic climate
        change.}",
          doi = {10.5194/os-21-2149-2025},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025OcSci..21.2149L},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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