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Shi, Qiqi, Zhou, Yonghong, Chen, Jianli, Jin, Shuanggen, Xu, Cancan, and Xu, Xueqing, 2026. Spatial roles of cryospheric and hydrological mass redistribution in Earth's oblateness J$_2$ trend using GRACE/GFO measurements. Advances in Space Research, 77(6):6976–6989, doi:10.1016/j.asr.2026.01.067.
• from the NASA Astrophysics Data System • by the DOI System •
@ARTICLE{2026AdSpR..77.6976S,
author = {{Shi}, Qiqi and {Zhou}, Yonghong and {Chen}, Jianli and {Jin}, Shuanggen and {Xu}, Cancan and {Xu}, Xueqing},
title = "{Spatial roles of cryospheric and hydrological mass redistribution in Earth's oblateness J$_{2}$ trend using GRACE/GFO measurements}",
journal = {Advances in Space Research},
keywords = {Earth'soblatenessJ$_{2}$, Mass redistribution, Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GFO), Ice melting, Terrestrial water storage (TWS)},
year = 2026,
month = mar,
volume = {77},
number = {6},
pages = {6976-6989},
abstract = "{The large-scale global mass distribution affects Earth's oblateness
J$_{2}$. Since the 21st century, the previously observed secular
decrease in J$_{2}$ attributed to glacial isostatic adjustment
has been reversed, with J$_{2}$ now increasing under climate
change. Revealing the spatial roles of mass redistribution
contributing to the J$_{2}$ trend is essential for understanding
Earth's dynamic processes. In this paper, we quantify the
cryospheric and hydrological contributions to the J$_{2}$ trend
utilizing the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE)
and GRACE Follow-On (GFO) measurements. Unlike previous efforts
that drew merely general conclusions about J$_{2}$ contribution
sources, we conduct a detailed analysis to identify the
underlying spatial patterns of mass migration associated with
these sources. The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (GrIS and
AIS) remain the dominant contributors to the increasing J$_{2}$
trend; however, the contribution from AIS melting has slowed and
recently tended toward stabilization, due to mass gains in East
Antarctica. Mass changes in mountain glaciers, independently
determined through GRACE/GFO and results from satellite
radiometry measurements of changes in glacier size, provide a
substantially large contribution to the J$_{2}$ trend, mainly
from mountain glaciers in mid- to high-latitude North America
and Eurasia, even surpassing the effect of AIS melting. The
contributions of land hydrology to the increasing J$_{2}$ trend
are ascertained to be driven by increased terrestrial water
storage (TWS) in Africa and by TWS depletion together with
potential ice loss in Eurasia. These findings provide an
improved understanding of how global ice and TWS changes
influence geodynamic processes.}",
doi = {10.1016/j.asr.2026.01.067},
adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2026AdSpR..77.6976S},
adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}
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