Publications related to the GRACE Missions (no abstracts)

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The impact of electron precipitation on Earth's thermospheric NO production and the drag of LEO satellites

Scherf, Manuel, Krauss, Sandro, Tsurikov, Grigory, Strasser, Andreas, Shematovich, Valery, Bisikalo, Dmitry, Lammer, Helmut, Güdel, Manuel, and Möstl, Christian, 2026. The impact of electron precipitation on Earth's thermospheric NO production and the drag of LEO satellites. Annales Geophysicae, 44(1):209–225, doi:10.5194/angeo-44-209-2026.

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@ARTICLE{2026AnGeo..44..209S,
       author = {{Scherf}, Manuel and {Krauss}, Sandro and {Tsurikov}, Grigory and {Strasser}, Andreas and {Shematovich}, Valery and {Bisikalo}, Dmitry and {Lammer}, Helmut and {G{\"u}del}, Manuel and {M{\"o}stl}, Christian},
        title = "{The impact of electron precipitation on Earth's thermospheric NO production and the drag of LEO satellites}",
      journal = {Annales Geophysicae},
     keywords = {Earth and Planetary Astrophysics, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, Space Physics},
         year = 2026,
        month = mar,
       volume = {44},
       number = {1},
        pages = {209-225},
     abstract = "{We investigate the response of space weather events on Earth's upper
        atmosphere over the polar regions by studying their effect on
        the drag of the CHAMP and GRACE satellites. Increasing solar
        activity that results in heating and the expansion of the upper
        atmosphere threatens low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites. Auroral
        events are closely related to the stellar energy deposition of
        solar EUV radiation and precipitating energetic electrons, which
        influence photochemical processes such as the production of
        nitric oxide (NO) in the upper atmosphere. To study the
        production of NO molecules and their influence on the
        thermospheric structure and satellite drag, we first model
        Earth's background thermosphere structure with the 1D upper
        atmosphere model Kompot by considering the incident X-ray, EUV,
        and IR radiation during selected space weather events. For
        investigating the effect of electron precipitation in the
        production of NO molecules in the polar thermosphere, we apply a
        Monte Carlo model that takes into account the stochastic nature
        of collisional scattering of auroral electrons in collisions
        with the surrounding N$_{2}$-O$_{2}$ atmosphere, including the
        production of suprathermal N atoms. The observed effect of the
        atmospheric drag on the CHAMP and GRACE spacecraft during the
        two studied events indicates that a sporadic enhancement of NO
        molecule production in the polar thermosphere and its IR-cooling
        capability, which counteracts thermospheric expansion and can
        lead to an ``overcooling'' with decreased density after the
        space weather event, can have a protective effect on LEO
        satellites. Their production efficiency, however, is highly
        dependent on the energy flux of the precipitating electrons. Our
        results have direct implications for empirical satellite orbit
        prediction models, as our simulations highlight the need to
        consider precipitation-induced NO production to improve the
        predictive power of these models.}",
          doi = {10.5194/angeo-44-209-2026},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
       eprint = {2602.18595},
 primaryClass = {astro-ph.EP},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2026AnGeo..44..209S},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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