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Akl, Mohamed, Thomas, Brian F., and Clarke, Peter J., 2026. A multi-objective comparative framework for Enhanced GRACE-Groundwater comparative analysis. Journal of Hydrology, 664:134403, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134403.
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@ARTICLE{2026JHyd..66434403A,
author = {{Akl}, Mohamed and {Thomas}, Brian F. and {Clarke}, Peter J.},
title = "{A multi-objective comparative framework for Enhanced GRACE-Groundwater comparative analysis}",
journal = {Journal of Hydrology},
keywords = {GRACE, GRACE-Groundwater assessments, Water budget components, Multi-objective Analysis, Uncertainty},
year = 2026,
month = jan,
volume = {664},
eid = {134403},
pages = {134403},
abstract = "{Accurate monitoring of groundwater resources is essential for
sustainable water management, especially under escalating
pressures from climate variability and intensive human
activities. Despite significant advancements provided by the
Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites in
monitoring terrestrial water storage anomalies (GRACE-TWSA),
isolating representative groundwater signals (GRACE-GWA) remains
challenging. This is primarily due to uncertainties in
complementary water budget components, which are essential for
disaggregating GRACE-TWSA. While multi-model approaches to
deriving GRACE-GWA can account for these uncertainties,
systematic frameworks to objectively compare and constrain
multi-model realizations against observed groundwater data
remain scarce. To address this gap, we apply a multi-objective
comparative framework employing NashâSutcliffe Efficiency (NSE)
and Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) metrics to compare multi-model
GRACE-GWA realizations against in-situ basin-scale groundwater
anomalies. Although these metrics are widely used in the
hydrologic community, their combined application for GRACE-GWA
evaluation is uncommon. Unlike conventional correlation-based
approaches, our framework captures critical aspects of time
series similarity, including seasonal amplitude fidelity and
magnitude consistency, thus enabling clearer identification of
optimal groundwater storage realizations. Our findings reveal
significant uncertainty between multi-model groundwater storage
trend and seasonal amplitude, emphasizing critical limitations
often overlooked in standard GRACE-GWA assessments. By
systematically isolating the most hydrologically consistent
realizations, our framework significantly enhances the
reliability, interpretability, and applicability of GRACE-based
groundwater estimates. This methodological framework supports
more accurate groundwater monitoring, strengthens data-driven
decision-making processes, and ultimately contributes toward
ensuring the long-term sustainability and resilience of vital
groundwater resources.}",
doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134403},
adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2026JHyd..66434403A},
adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}
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