Publications related to the GRACE Missions (no abstracts)

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Multi–basin assessment of terrestrial water storage changes and drought–lake interactions in Türkiye using GRACE/GRACE–FO, GLDAS, and SPEI (2002–2025) with future projections to 2050 under SSP2–4.5

Çelik, Mehmet Özgür, 2026. Multi–basin assessment of terrestrial water storage changes and drought–lake interactions in Türkiye using GRACE/GRACE–FO, GLDAS, and SPEI (2002–2025) with future projections to 2050 under SSP2–4.5. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 157(9):540, doi:10.1007/s00704-026-06470-x.

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@ARTICLE{2026ThApC.157..540C,
       author = {{{\c{C}}elik}, Mehmet {\"O}zg{\"u}r},
        title = "{Multi-basin assessment of terrestrial water storage changes and drought-lake interactions in T{\"u}rkiye using GRACE/GRACE-FO, GLDAS, and SPEI (2002-2025) with future projections to 2050 under SSP2-4.5}",
      journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
     keywords = {Earth Sciences, Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience, Biological Sciences, Ecology},
         year = 2026,
        month = aug,
       volume = {157},
       number = {9},
          eid = {540},
        pages = {540},
     abstract = "{T{\"u}rkiye, a semi-arid country located in the Mediterranean climate
        zone, is severely affected by climate change. The observed
        decreases in lake storage and drying up in recent years are of
        paramount importance for sustainable water management. This
        study examines 12 lakes located in the Gediz basin, the Burdur
        closed basin, the Konya closed basin, and the Van Lake closed
        basin. Water mass changes over the 2002--2025 (present period)
        period were analyzed using NASA's GRACE/GRACE-FO satellite data
        and the GLDAS hydrological model. Water mass changes were
        correlated with the SPEI drought index. In the second stage,
        drought projections for the 2041--2060 (future period) period
        were made using the HadGEM3-GC31-LL climate model under the
        SSP2-4.5 scenario. Using statistical models established in the
        past, the potential effects of future drought severity on lake
        water bodies were estimated. The study's findings indicate that
        a decrease of 166.64 cm in water mass has occurred in the
        current period, and this amount may reach 87.65 cm in the
        future. The study emphasizes the pressing necessity of
        implementing water management policies that are basin-based,
        climate-resilient, and sustainable.}",
          doi = {10.1007/s00704-026-06470-x},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2026ThApC.157..540C},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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